2024–2025 NFL seasons

Leaderboard

Ranked by CLV against the sportsbook close, not by profit. A wallet that beats Polymarket's own close but not the books is harvesting venue drift.

skill: 62
unclear: 138
luck: 79

Grade any wallet

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snapshot Sep 3, 08:54 UTC · book-close coverage 66.2% · consensus needs ≥ 4 books at the exact line · wallets with fewer than 20 graded bets are not ranked (a separate, higher bar of 30+ book-graded bets gates the p-value and skill score — see the "n/a" rows below)

Whales · top 25 of 279 graded

The biggest wallets by volume

Size is not skill. Ranked by graded on-chain trading volume (USD). This is a size/activity ranking, NOT a skill ranking -- a big wallet can carry a 'luck' or 'unclear' verdict. See verdict and clv_pm for the actual graded evaluation of each wallet, and the leaderboard for the skill-ranked view.

wallet	verdict	volume	positions	biggest position	clv pm	last trade
1wasianiversonworldchamp20250xb744…5210	Skill	$38,934,392	218(0 open / 218 settled)	$1,531,012	+0.0%	Dec 22, 22:24 UTC
2Dillius0xed88…f3c4	Luck	$29,583,925	97(0 open / 97 settled)	$1,397,537	−0.5%	Nov 16, 22:54 UTC
3SeriouslySirius0x16b2…a881	Skill	$26,964,929	1,090(0 open / 1,090 settled)	$1,091,348	+2.6%	Jan 7, 15:55 UTC
4gmpm0x1496…a429	Skill	$24,579,200	461(0 open / 461 settled)	$1,801,438	+0.0%	Feb 8, 23:21 UTC
5bossoskil0x0d3b…c46b	Luck	$18,578,127	147(0 open / 147 settled)	$1,275,308	−0.5%	Jan 10, 21:06 UTC
6kch1230x6a72…33ee	Unclear	$14,029,226	105(0 open / 105 settled)	$1,013,326	+0.8%	Feb 9, 02:38 UTC
7Alert-Doubling0x7fb7…e33d	Skill	$10,554,861	542(0 open / 542 settled)	$534,283	+2.1%	Oct 21, 07:34 UTC
84326147991970xdc87…7ab6	Unclear	$9,334,823	91(0 open / 91 settled)	$1,076,620	+2.1%	Feb 9, 02:19 UTC
9gmanas0xe90b…5da2	Skill	$8,378,709	140(0 open / 140 settled)	$1,056,380	+1.2%	Feb 9, 05:58 UTC
10SammySledge0xafba…e61b	Skill	$7,582,291	199(0 open / 199 settled)	$334,998	+2.0%	Feb 9, 01:44 UTC
11SpartanWar0x3cda…6e17	Skill	$7,581,258	168(0 open / 168 settled)	$283,335	+1.6%	Nov 14, 01:43 UTC
12benwyatt0x1117…3532	Skill	$7,237,764	324(0 open / 324 settled)	$124,766	+1.1%	Feb 8, 22:54 UTC
130x02e65d10e83eb391ca0c466630f82790854e250x83b9…6124	Skill	$7,014,438	350(0 open / 350 settled)	$440,580	−0.2%	Nov 12, 10:05 UTC
144-seas0x5139…a8db	Skill	$6,979,526	681(0 open / 681 settled)	$193,455	+0.9%	Dec 16, 01:01 UTC
15primm0xd38b…5029	Skill	$6,328,592	196(0 open / 196 settled)	$277,720	+0.9%	Jan 25, 15:18 UTC
16piastri0x2f09…4632	Skill	$6,031,118	144(0 open / 144 settled)	$464,158	+0.4%	Dec 9, 03:03 UTC
17antman-batman-superman-lakers-in-50x4259…936f	Luck	$5,896,946	56(0 open / 56 settled)	$1,195,280	−1.4%	Jan 26, 02:03 UTC
18Anointed-Connect0x8f03…64d6	Skill	$5,828,451	264(0 open / 264 settled)	$405,378	+1.3%	Feb 8, 23:37 UTC
19Finubar0x900c…1d7a	Unclear	$5,790,651	596(0 open / 596 settled)	$189,701	−0.1%	Nov 10, 23:00 UTC
20ilovecircle0xa987…141d	Unclear	$5,181,931	114(0 open / 114 settled)	$533,885	+1.2%	Nov 17, 04:29 UTC
214gibg4i3o0x0d16…d24d	Unclear	$4,976,284	64(0 open / 64 settled)	$467,378	+1.6%	Feb 8, 23:10 UTC
22supersportsbro0xdf2e…ddec	Skill	$4,917,793	370(0 open / 370 settled)	$396,962	+4.2%	Oct 6, 15:35 UTC
23ckw0x9267…0f9a	Skill	$4,593,602	274(0 open / 274 settled)	$138,000	+1.9%	Feb 9, 01:38 UTC
240x5375…aeea	Luck	$4,537,225	353(0 open / 353 settled)	$395,576	−1.3%	Feb 9, 03:22 UTC
25sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40	Skill	$4,386,131	108(0 open / 108 settled)	$260,290	−0.3%	Aug 29, 00:58 UTC

snapshot Sep 3, 08:55 UTC · ranked by real gross BUY-side USD, drawn from the same graded universe as the leaderboard above

Live · 72h window

What graded wallets are trading now

249 of 372 tracked wallets polled this cycle · Sep 5, 15:19 UTC · polling is budget-capped per run, refreshes on the ~30-min update loop

BUY0x445e…9be0 (Tiny-Tumbler)Seahawks in Patriots vs. Seahawks$6 @ 62¢Sep 5, 14:30 UTC
SELL0x445e…9be0 (Tiny-Tumbler)Seahawks in Patriots vs. Seahawks$2 @ 64¢Sep 5, 13:33 UTC
SELL0x445e…9be0 (Tiny-Tumbler)Seahawks in Patriots vs. Seahawks$1 @ 64¢Sep 5, 07:59 UTC
BUY0x445e…9be0 (Tiny-Tumbler)Seahawks in Patriots vs. Seahawks$6 @ 62¢Sep 5, 07:02 UTC
SELL0x445e…9be0 (Tiny-Tumbler)Seahawks in Patriots vs. Seahawks$6 @ 64¢Sep 5, 07:02 UTC
SELL0x445e…9be0 (Tiny-Tumbler)Seahawks in Patriots vs. Seahawks$1 @ 64¢Sep 5, 06:57 UTC
BUY0x445e…9be0 (Tiny-Tumbler)Seahawks in Patriots vs. Seahawks$33 @ 62¢Sep 5, 06:49 UTC
BUY0x445e…9be0 (Tiny-Tumbler)Seahawks in Patriots vs. Seahawks$4 @ 62¢Sep 5, 06:11 UTC