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DexRay

About

What is DexRay

DexRay is built and operated by Nicolas Schaerer, based in Switzerland — see the Impressum for the operator record and Privacy for how contact details are used. It is a one-person data project, not a company with a trading desk or a tip service behind it.

The site tracks NFL and NCAAF (college football) betting markets: cross-book sportsbook odds, a de-vigged consensus closing line for every game, and how that line moved from open to kickoff. Alongside the sportsbook side, it watches Polymarket — the on-chain prediction market — and grades individual wallets on whether their trades actually beat the market's own closing price. See the NFL page and CFB page for the live data.

Three things make DexRay's data different from a typical odds site. First, a forward-collected NCAAF closing-line archive: DexRay snapshots cross-book consensus odds roughly every 30 minutes, keeping the first snapshot it saw for each game as that game's opening line and the last one before kickoff as its close — openly downloadable on the Open Data page, which shows the exact row counts and date range as of today. Coverage is front-loaded on the weeks closest to now and grows as later weeks post; every game that has already kicked off has a close on file. That is a different collection method from a closing-line archive assembled after the season — DexRay's own Leaderboard separately draws on one such existing public archive, CollegeFootballData's 2–4-book provider-median close, for a separate CLV column — not a claim that DexRay's is the only NCAAF closing-line data anywhere, only that it is collected prospectively, cross-book, as the lines post. Second, dual-close wallet grading: the Leaderboard scores every graded Polymarket wallet's closing-line value against both the sportsbook close and the Polymarket close, with a bootstrap p-value behind each verdict rather than a raw win-rate ranking — the exact test is written out on Methodology. Third, a pre-registered house strategy: DexRay's own NFL strategy was sealed with a gate and kill criteria before it traded a dollar, and its results are graded in public, week by week, on the House page.

What DexRay is not: it takes no bets and holds no customer funds or wallet keys, ever — any wager or trade happens directly with a sportsbook or Polymarket, under that venue's own terms (see Terms §4). It does not sell picks framed as advice: Pro and API subscribers get model signals, but every signal is released on a fixed public schedule with a held-out control, set out and graded against the House page's own gate — nothing goes out as a naked recommendation without that public accounting attached.