2026 · Week 2 · · Levi's Stadium
Dolphins7–10 · 8–9 ATS · 10–7 O/U('25)
49ers13–6 · 12–7 ATS · 11–8 O/U('25)
- spread · SF
- -10.5
- total
- 46.5
- fair ml
- 82¢ home
- books
- 5
- open
- -10.5 / 46.5
odds as of · polymarket · refreshes with each capture, not live
01
Odds across the books
| book | Miami Dolphins | San Francisco 49ers | updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | +425 | -588 | |
| Betr | +425 | -625 | |
| Caesars | +400 | -550 | |
| DraftKings | +470 | -650 |
02
Consensus edge
de-vigged median across the books — no model involvedmoneyline
4 books · vig removed
Fair: 49ers 82¢ / Dolphins 18¢ — best price: Dolphins at draftkings +3.5% above fair.
fair
03
Model says
proreleased to Pro 2h after the house trades (amendment A3, from Week 1); unlocks here at kickoff−15minChecking the model…
04
Line movement
05
Player props
consensus columns free · model columns above in Model saysProps are not posted yet. Books open player markets a few days before kickoff — they appear here with the next odds capture.
06
Matchup
EPA form free · PFF unit grades Pro07
Weather
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo covers 16 days out. It appears here automatically once the game is in range.
08
Missing players
MIA
- Ollie Gordon · RB (Undisclosed)7 rec, 32 yds; 199 rush ydsmed impactQuestionable
- Ben Sims · TE (Undisclosed)3 rec, 30 ydslow impactQuestionable
- Kenneth Grant · DL (Leg)IR
- Rene Konga · DL (Undisclosed)IR
09
Polymarket
10
Sharp wallets in this game
pro11
Similar past games
35 past games within ±1 spread and ±1.5 total, same roof, division games.
- favourite ats
- 17–18(49%)
- over rate
- 46%
- avg margin
- 11.8
- avg total
- 45.9
Show the 20 most recent matches
| game | spread | total line | result | scored | cover | o/u |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GB @ BUF 2022 | +10.5 | 47 | +10 | 44 | dog | under |
| TEN @ BUF 2022 | +10 | 47.5 | +34 | 48 | fav | over |
| HOU @ DEN 2022 | +10.5 | 46 | +7 | 25 | dog |
12
Head to head
MIA leads 5–38 meetings since 1999
- 2024-12-22SF @ MIA17-29MIA won
- 2022-12-04MIA @ SF17-33SF won
- 2020-10-11MIA @ SF43-17MIA won
- 2016-11-27SF @ MIA24-31MIA won
- 2012-12-09MIA @ SF13-27SF won
- 2008-12-14SF @ MIA9-14MIA won
- 2004-11-28MIA @ SF24-17MIA won
- 2001-12-16MIA @ SF0-21SF won