2026 · Week 4 · · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Colts8–9 · 9–8 ATS · 9–8 O/U('25)
Commanders5–12 · 7–10 ATS · 10–7 O/U('25)
- spread · WAS
- +1.5
- total
- 49.5
- fair ml
- 49¢ home
- books
- 15
- open → now
- -1.5 → +1.5
line moved 3.0 toward IND
odds as of · polymarket · refreshes with each capture, not live
01
Odds across the books
| book | Indianapolis Colts | Washington Commanders | updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR) | -118 | -111 | |
| Betr | -114 | -108 | |
| Caesars | -113 | -105 | |
| DraftKings | -102 | -118 | |
| FanDuel | -124 | +106 | |
| LeoVegas | -120 | -114 | |
| Paddy Power | -125 | +100 | |
| ReBet | -114 | -108 | |
| Smarkets | -122 | -115 | |
| SportsBet | -127 | +107 |
03
Model says
proreleased to Pro 2h after the house trades (amendment A3, from Week 1); unlocks here at kickoff−15minChecking the model…
04
Line movement
05
Player props
consensus columns free · model columns above in Model saysProps are not posted yet. Books open player markets a few days before kickoff — they appear here with the next odds capture.
06
Matchup
EPA form free · PFF unit grades Pro07
Weather
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo covers 16 days out. It appears here automatically once the game is in range.
08
Missing players
IND
- Tyler Warren · TE (Groin)76 rec, 817 yds; 8 rush ydshigh impactQuestionable
- Alec Pierce · WR (Ankle)47 rec, 1003 ydshigh impactQuestionable
- Josh Downs · WR (Undisclosed)58 rec, 566 ydshigh impactQuestionable
- Will Mallory · TE (Thumb)1 rec, 16 yds
09
Polymarket
10
Sharp wallets in this game
pro11
Similar past games
32 past games within ±1 spread and ±1.5 total, same roof, division games.
- favourite ats
- 19–13(59%)
- over rate
- 41%
- avg margin
- -2.8
- avg total
- 48.9
Show the 20 most recent matches
| game | spread | total line | result | scored | cover | o/u |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL @ KC 2025 | -2.5 | 48.5 | +17 | 57 | dog | over |
| DAL @ CHI 2025 | -1.5 | 49.5 | +17 | 45 | dog | under |
| BAL @ BUF 2025 | -1.5 | 50.5 | +1 | 81 | dog | over |
12
Head to head
IND leads 5–27 meetings since 1999
- 2022-10-30WAS @ IND17-16WAS won
- 2018-09-16IND @ WAS21-9IND won
- 2014-11-30WAS @ IND27-49IND won
- 2010-10-17IND @ WAS27-24IND won
- 2006-10-22WAS @ IND22-36IND won
- 2002-10-27IND @ WAS21-26WAS won
- 1999-12-19WAS @ IND21-24IND won