2026 · Week 4 · · Levi's Stadium
Broncos15–4 · 9–10 ATS · 8–11 O/U('25)
49ers13–6 · 12–7 ATS · 11–8 O/U('25)
- spread · SF
- -2.5
- total
- 46.5
- fair ml
- —
- books
- 4
- open
- -2.5 / 46.5
odds as of · polymarket · refreshes with each capture, not live
01
Odds across the books
| book | Denver Broncos | San Francisco 49ers | updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betr | +120 | -149 | |
| Caesars | +125 | -160 | |
| DraftKings | +114 | -135 |
02
Consensus edge
de-vigged median across the books — no model involvedNot enough books at a shared line for a consensus yet.
03
Model says
proreleased to Pro 2h after the house trades (amendment A3, from Week 1); unlocks here at kickoff−15minChecking the model…
04
Line movement
05
Player props
consensus columns free · model columns above in Model saysProps are not posted yet. Books open player markets a few days before kickoff — they appear here with the next odds capture.
06
Matchup
EPA form free · PFF unit grades Pro07
Weather
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo covers 16 days out. It appears here automatically once the game is in range.
08
Missing players
DEN
- Frank Crum · OT (Undisclosed)1 rec, 7 ydshigh impactIR
- Marvin Mims · WR (Foot)49 rec, 477 yds; 78 rush ydshigh impactQuestionable
- Levelle Bailey · LB (Leg)IR
- Drew Sanders · LB (Undisclosed)IR
- Caleb Lohner
09
Polymarket
10
Sharp wallets in this game
pro11
Similar past games
158 past games within ±1 spread and ±1.5 total, same roof, division games.
- favourite ats
- 77–75–6(51%)
- over rate
- 52%
- avg margin
- 3.7
- avg total
- 46.5
Show the 20 most recent matches
| game | spread | total line | result | scored | cover | o/u |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF @ DEN 2025 | +1.5 | 45.5 | +3 | 63 | fav | over |
| LAC @ NE 2025 | +3.5 | 45.5 | +13 | 19 | fav | under |
| PHI @ BUF 2025 | +3 | 45.5 | -1 | 25 | dog |
12
Head to head
DEN leads 4–37 meetings since 1999
- 2022-09-25SF @ DEN10-11DEN won
- 2018-12-09DEN @ SF14-20SF won
- 2014-10-19SF @ DEN17-42DEN won
- 2010-10-31DEN @ SF16-24SF won
- 2006-12-31SF @ DEN26-23SF won
- 2002-09-15DEN @ SF24-14DEN won
- 2000-12-23SF @ DEN9-38DEN won