Titans @ Giants · Week 3

2026 · Week 3 · Sep 27, 17:00 UTC · MetLife Stadium

Titans

3–14 · 7–10 ATS · 11–6 O/U('25)

Giants

4–13 · 9–8 ATS · 11–6 O/U('25)

spread · NYG: -3
total: 44.5
fair ml: 61¢ home
books: 5
open: -3 / 44.5

on the key number 3

odds as of Sep 1, 09:43 UTC · polymarket Sep 1, 15:30 UTC · refreshes with each capture, not live

Odds across the books

book	New York Giants	Tennessee Titans	updated
Bet Right	-175	+142	Sep 1, 09:43 UTC
Betr	-175	+140	Sep 1, 09:42 UTC
Caesars	-191	+140	Sep 1, 09:41 UTC
DraftKings	-166	+140	Sep 1, 09:42 UTC

Consensus edge

de-vigged median across the books — no model involved

moneyline

4 books · vig removed

Fair: Giants 61¢ / Titans 39¢ — no book beats fair right now.

fairworsebetter

Model says

proreleased to Pro 2h after the house trades (amendment A3, from Week 1); unlocks here at kickoff−15min

Checking the model…

Line movement

latestSep 1 · -3.5

Median across books per capture, ~12-hourly book snapshots + 30-min line captures. Not live.

Player props

consensus columns free · model columns above in Model says

Props are not posted yet. Books open player markets a few days before kickoff — they appear here with the next odds capture.

Matchup

EPA form free · PFF unit grades Pro

TENseason form · league percentileNYG

9
off EPA/play
50
12
def EPA/play
22
9
success rate
25
34
pass over expected
19
22
explosive pass rate
59
22
explosive rush rate
75
22
sacks allowed/dropback
22

Raw numbers, last 5 vs season

form	last 5		season
	TEN	NYG	TEN	NYG
off EPA/play	-.069	-.019	-.167	.006
def EPA/play	.069	-.046	.106	.084
success rate	.389	.424	.373	.420
pass over expected	-8.6	-8.0	-3.9	-5.0
explosive pass rate	.042	.025	.041	.047
explosive rush rate	.045	.066	.041	.054
sacks allowed/dropback	.043

PFF unit grades (pass block, pass rush, coverage, run defense…) are Pro. Unlock →

Weather

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo covers 16 days out. It appears here automatically once the game is in range.

Missing players

TEN

Wan'Dale Robinson · WR (Head)92 rec, 1014 yds; 5 rush ydshigh impactQuestionable
Mitchell Trubisky · QB (Biceps)6 rush yds; 313 pass ydslow impactQuestionable
Jaren Kanak · TE (Pectoral)IR
Joshua Williams · CB (Pectoral)IR

Polymarket

Titans vs. Giants

bid: 33¢
ask: 45¢
24h vol: —

▼ +0.5% today

Spread: Giants (-1.5)

bid: 42¢
ask: 77¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Giants (-3.5)

bid: 35¢
ask: 70¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Giants (-4.5)

bid: 30¢
ask: 65¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Giants (-6.5)

bid: 24¢
ask: 59¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Giants (-7.5)

bid: 21¢
ask: 56¢
24h vol: —

Sharp wallets in this game

pro

0 graded-wallet positions · 0 wallets currently holding this game.

Who, which side, size, and whether the close says they're trustworthy — that's Pro. Unlock →

Similar past games

203 past games within ±1 spread and ±1.5 total, same roof, division games.

favourite ats: 96–95–12(50%)
over rate: 48%
avg margin: 3.8
avg total: 44.2

Show the 20 most recent matches

game	spread	total line	result	scored	cover	o/u
LAC @ NE 2025	+3.5	45.5	+13	19	fav	under
PHI @ BUF 2025	+3	45.5	-1	25	dog	under
CHI @ BAL 2025	+2.5	45.5	+14	46

Head to head

TEN leads 5–27 meetings since 1999

2022-09-11NYG @ TEN21-20NYG won
2018-12-16TEN @ NYG17-0TEN won
2014-12-07NYG @ TEN36-7NYG won
2010-09-26TEN @ NYG29-10TEN won
2006-11-26NYG @ TEN21-24TEN won
2002-12-01TEN @ NYG32-29TEN won
2000-10-01NYG @ TEN14-28TEN won

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