2024 (from Nov 26) + 2025 CFB seasons — Polymarket-close basis only

CFB Sharps

Polymarket-close basis; CFBD provider-median close where available; Odds API closes from 2026. No historical NCAAF closing archive exists, so verdicts here grade a wallet against Polymarket's own pre-kickoff price — the book-close columns are separate bases and are never blended.

skill: 50
unclear: 105
luck: 82

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snapshot Sep 3, 08:54 UTC · CLV_book impossible retroactively (no NCAAF closing archive); never blended. · wallets with fewer than 20 graded positions are not ranked

Whales · top 25 of 237 graded

The biggest wallets by volume

Size is not skill. Ranked by graded on-chain trading volume (USD). This is a size/activity ranking, NOT a skill ranking -- a big wallet can carry a 'luck' or 'unclear' verdict. See verdict and clv_pm for the actual graded evaluation of each wallet, and the leaderboard for the skill-ranked view.

wallet	verdict	volume	positions	biggest position	clv pm	last trade
1Dillius0xed88…f3c4	Luck	$30,384,105	152(0 open / 152 settled)	$1,136,010	−0.4%	Nov 16, 04:20 UTC
2SeriouslySirius0x16b2…a881	Skill	$15,366,929	1,160(0 open / 1,160 settled)	$493,815	+2.9%	Jan 7, 16:23 UTC
3gmpm0x1496…a429	Unclear	$9,531,523	304(0 open / 304 settled)	$465,533	+0.2%	Jan 20, 00:47 UTC
4TeamGG0x1e3a…4033	Luck	$6,916,897	252(0 open / 252 settled)	$280,000	−1.7%	Jan 3, 01:45 UTC
5Mayuravarma0x3657…6b14	Unclear	$6,329,227	29(0 open / 29 settled)	$1,199,960	−0.9%	Jan 1, 22:21 UTC
6primm0xd38b…5029	Luck	$6,233,906	322(0 open / 322 settled)	$239,998	−0.2%	Jan 19, 18:25 UTC
7gmanas0xe90b…5da2	Skill	$5,223,063	157(0 open / 157 settled)	$340,500	+1.8%	Jan 20, 06:44 UTC
84-seas0x5139…a8db	Luck	$4,461,137	1,094(0 open / 1,094 settled)	$156,181	−0.2%	Dec 7, 01:06 UTC
9Latina0x2643…39ae	Unclear	$4,223,242	25(0 open / 25 settled)	$809,222	−2.0%	Jan 9, 17:11 UTC
10kch1230x6a72…33ee	Unclear	$4,050,630	41(0 open / 41 settled)	$729,629	+0.8%	Jan 19, 23:16 UTC
11bossoskil0x0d3b…c46b	Luck	$4,001,626	32(0 open / 32 settled)	$947,975	−0.1%	Jan 6, 20:59 UTC
12123ComeBack4560xaefe…1e4a	Unclear	$3,916,138	29(0 open / 29 settled)	$608,601	−2.4%	Dec 31, 21:09 UTC
13FavoritesOnly0xaf38…a59b	Skill	$3,905,447	1,269(0 open / 1,269 settled)	$188,742	+2.1%	Nov 10, 18:40 UTC
140x02e65d10e83eb391ca0c466630f82790854e250x83b9…6124	Luck	$3,832,990	538(0 open / 538 settled)	$172,287	−0.7%	Nov 13, 08:24 UTC
15qwertyasdfghjkl0x3151…0977	Skill	$3,364,674	176(0 open / 176 settled)	$211,607	+1.6%	Nov 16, 06:23 UTC
16Alert-Doubling0x7fb7…e33d	Skill	$3,094,691	489(0 open / 489 settled)	$196,981	+2.9%	Oct 19, 02:28 UTC
17SwissMiss0xdbad…9c95	Unclear	$2,797,336	68(0 open / 68 settled)	$164,000	+3.1%	Dec 21, 00:28 UTC
18Feromont0xabb8…bba3	Luck	$2,601,571	37(0 open / 37 settled)	$563,923	−1.1%	Aug 29, 22:55 UTC
19comon1190xc3c3…eec8	Luck	$2,592,330	291(0 open / 291 settled)	$34,400	−1.7%	Dec 28, 05:40 UTC
20sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40	Luck	$2,240,738	95(0 open / 95 settled)	$218,760	−0.4%	Aug 29, 19:50 UTC
21Bleak-Lava0x006c…16ea	Unclear	$2,224,785	95(0 open / 95 settled)	$305,316	+2.0%	Jan 19, 22:34 UTC
22potko0x4335…fc2f	Luck	$2,131,612	124(0 open / 124 settled)	$106,600	−0.5%	Dec 20, 20:10 UTC
23supersportsbro0xdf2e…ddec	Skill	$2,028,172	785(0 open / 785 settled)	$133,204	+2.9%	Oct 5, 01:34 UTC
24simonbanza0x5350…2fda	Unclear	$1,875,608	48(0 open / 48 settled)	$436,606	+0.0%	Jan 10, 00:44 UTC
253bpatgs0x2129…4222	Skill	$1,789,589	880(0 open / 880 settled)	$75,158	+3.9%	Nov 9, 06:26 UTC

snapshot Sep 3, 08:55 UTC · ranked by real gross BUY-side USD, drawn from the same graded universe as the leaderboard above

Live · 72h window

What graded wallets are trading now

249 of 372 tracked wallets polled this cycle · Sep 5, 15:19 UTC · polling is budget-capped per run, refreshes on the ~30-min update loop

BUY0x4488…e319 (Flipadelphia)Liberty in Liberty vs. James Madison$6 @ 33¢Sep 5, 15:09 UTC
BUY0xf152…64aa (Distant-Tunnel)Southern Miss in Alcorn State vs. Southern Miss$98 @ 90¢Sep 5, 15:09 UTC
BUY0xf152…64aa (Distant-Tunnel)Jacksonville State in Eastern Kentucky vs. Jacksonville State$118 @ 91¢Sep 5, 15:08 UTC
BUY0xf152…64aa (Distant-Tunnel)West Virginia in Coastal Carolina vs. West Virginia$139 @ 92¢Sep 5, 15:08 UTC
BUY0xa8f3…e544 (Earnest-Shampoo)Over in Northern Illinois vs. Iowa: O/U 44.5$102 @ 51¢Sep 5, 14:56 UTC
BUY0x4488…e319 (Flipadelphia)Under in O/U 47.5$520 @ 54¢Sep 5, 14:41 UTC
BUY0x4488…e319 (Flipadelphia)Under in O/U 47.5$54 @ 54¢Sep 5, 14:38 UTC
BUY0xf152…64aa (Distant-Tunnel)Southern Miss in Alcorn State vs. Southern Miss$9 @ 90¢Sep 5, 14:38 UTC
BUY0x4488…e319 (Flipadelphia)Under in O/U 47.5$45 @ 54¢Sep 5, 14:35 UTC
BUY0x4488…e319 (Flipadelphia)Liberty in Liberty vs. James Madison$5 @ 33¢Sep 5, 14:20 UTC
BUY0x4488…e319 (Flipadelphia)Liberty in Liberty vs. James Madison$2 @ 33¢Sep 5, 14:18 UTC
BUY0x4488…e319 (Flipadelphia)Liberty in Liberty vs. James Madison$2 @ 33¢Sep 5, 14:16 UTC
BUY0x4488…e319 (Flipadelphia)Liberty in Liberty vs. James Madison$17 @ 33¢Sep 5, 14:16 UTC
BUY0xa8f3…e544 (Earnest-Shampoo)Youngstown State in Spread: Kentucky (-22.5)$40 @ 51¢Sep 5, 14:06 UTC
BUY0x4488…e319 (Flipadelphia)Under in O/U 47.5$112 @ 54¢Sep 5, 14:06 UTC
BUY0x4488…e319 (Flipadelphia)Liberty in Liberty vs. James Madison$5 @ 33¢Sep 5, 14:04 UTC
BUY0x4488…e319 (Flipadelphia)Liberty in Liberty vs. James Madison$0 @ 33¢Sep 5, 14:04 UTC
BUY0xa8f3…e544 (Earnest-Shampoo)Youngstown State in Spread: Kentucky (-22.5)$2 @ 51¢Sep 5, 14:04 UTC
BUY0x4488…e319 (Flipadelphia)Under in O/U 47.5$79 @ 54¢Sep 5, 14:00 UTC
BUY0x2ada…2f28 (Black-And-White-Summit)Ohio State in Ball State vs. Ohio State$4,980 @ 100¢Sep 5, 13:54 UTC
BUY0xa8f3…e544 (Earnest-Shampoo)Liberty in Spread: James Madison (-6.5)$102 @ 51¢Sep 5, 13:48 UTC
BUY0x4488…e319 (Flipadelphia)Liberty in Liberty vs. James Madison$1 @ 33¢Sep 5, 13:33 UTC
BUY0x2ada…2f28 (Black-And-White-Summit)Oregon in Boise State vs. Oregon$78 @ 94¢Sep 5, 13:29 UTC
BUY0x4488…e319 (Flipadelphia)Liberty in Liberty vs. James Madison$5 @ 33¢Sep 5, 13:16 UTC
BUY0x4488…e319 (Flipadelphia)Liberty in Liberty vs. James Madison$5 @ 33¢Sep 5, 13:11 UTC
BUY0x4488…e319 (Flipadelphia)Liberty in Liberty vs. James Madison$13 @ 33¢Sep 5, 13:02 UTC
BUY0x4488…e319 (Flipadelphia)Liberty in Liberty vs. James Madison$5 @ 33¢Sep 5, 12:54 UTC
BUY0x4488…e319 (Flipadelphia)Liberty in Liberty vs. James Madison$2 @ 33¢Sep 5, 12:54 UTC
BUY0xa2cc…0cbc (Arid-Revolver)Under in UNLV vs. Hawai'i: O/U 55.5$2 @ 50¢Sep 5, 12:24 UTC
BUY0xa2cc…0cbc (Arid-Revolver)Under in UNLV vs. Hawai'i: O/U 55.5$5 @ 50¢Sep 5, 12:23 UTC