Rams @ Broncos · DexRay

Preseason · Sep 28, 00:20 UTC

Rams

Broncos

15–4 · 9–10 ATS · 8–11 O/U('25)

spread · DEN: +3
total: 46.5
fair ml: 41¢ home
books: 4
open: —

on the key number 3

odds as of Sep 1, 09:43 UTC · refreshes with each capture, not live

Odds across the books

book	Denver Broncos	Los Angeles Rams	updated
Bet Right	+132	-161	Sep 1, 09:43 UTC
Betr	+130	-161	Sep 1, 09:42 UTC
Caesars	+135	-170	Sep 1, 09:41 UTC
DraftKings	+130	-155	Sep 1, 09:42 UTC

Consensus edge

de-vigged median across the books — no model involved

moneyline

4 books · vig removed

Fair: Broncos 41¢ / Rams 59¢ — no book beats fair right now.

fairworsebetter

Model says

proreleased to Pro 2h after the house trades (amendment A3, from Week 1); unlocks here at kickoff−15min

Checking the model…

Line movement

latestSep 1 · 3.0

Median across books per capture, ~12-hourly book snapshots + 30-min line captures. Not live.

Player props

consensus columns free · model columns above in Model says

Props are not posted yet. Books open player markets a few days before kickoff — they appear here with the next odds capture.

Matchup

EPA form free · PFF unit grades Pro

LARseason form · league percentileDEN

—
off EPA/play
56
—
def EPA/play
84
—
success rate
34
—
pass over expected
81
—
explosive pass rate
41
—
explosive rush rate
44
—
sacks allowed/dropback
94

Raw numbers, last 5 vs season

form	last 5		season
	LAR	DEN	LAR	DEN
off EPA/play	—	-.080	—	.024
def EPA/play	—	-.116	—	-.096
success rate	—	.407	—	.429
pass over expected	—	2.8	—	1.5
explosive pass rate	—	.040	—	.044
explosive rush rate	—	.041	—	.045
sacks allowed/dropback	—	.049	—	.035

PFF unit grades (pass block, pass rush, coverage, run defense…) are Pro. Unlock →

Weather

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo covers 16 days out. It appears here automatically once the game is in range.

Missing players

LAR

Puka Nacua · WR (Undisclosed)153 rec, 2047 yds; 129 rush ydshigh impactQuestionable
Davis Allen · TE (Quadriceps)24 rec, 208 ydsmed impactQuestionable
Terrance Ferguson · TE (Undisclosed)12 rec, 250 ydsmed impactQuestionable
Zech McPhearson · CB (Undisclosed)

Polymarket

No open Polymarket markets for this game in the latest capture. Game markets usually post in game week.

Sharp wallets in this game

pro

0 graded-wallet positions · 0 wallets currently holding this game.

Who, which side, size, and whether the close says they're trustworthy — that's Pro. Unlock →

Similar past games

Preseason exhibitions aren't matched against the 1999–2025 regular-season archive — starters sit, lines barely move. Real matches appear on every Week 1+ page.

Head to head

No prior meetings in the archive.

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