2026 · Week 4 · · Huntington Bank Field
Steelers10–8 · 9–8 ATS · 10–8 O/U('25)
Browns5–12 · 8–9 ATS · 8–9 O/U('25)
- spread · CLE
- +2.5
- total
- 38.5
- fair ml
- —
- books
- 3
- open
- +2.5 / 40.5
odds as of · refreshes with each capture, not live
01
Odds across the books
| book | Cleveland Browns | Pittsburgh Steelers | updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betr | +125 | -156 | |
| Caesars | +135 | -170 | |
| DraftKings | +114 | -135 |
02
Consensus edge
de-vigged median across the books — no model involvedNot enough books at a shared line for a consensus yet.
03
Model says
proreleased to Pro 2h after the house trades (amendment A3, from Week 1); unlocks here at kickoff−15minChecking the model…
04
Line movement
05
Player props
consensus columns free · model columns above in Model saysProps are not posted yet. Books open player markets a few days before kickoff — they appear here with the next odds capture.
06
Matchup
EPA form free · PFF unit grades Pro07
Weather
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo covers 16 days out. It appears here automatically once the game is in range.
08
Missing players
PIT
- Michael Pittman · WR (Leg)80 rec, 784 ydshigh impactQuestionable
- Ben Skowronek · WR (Concussion)4 rec, 69 ydslow impactQuestionable
- Logan Lee · DL (Undisclosed)IR
- DeShon Elliott · DB (Undisclosed)IR
09
Polymarket
10
Sharp wallets in this game
pro11
Similar past games
72 past games within ±1 spread and ±1.5 total, same roof, division games.
- favourite ats
- 29–37–6(44%)
- over rate
- 42%
- avg margin
- -0.9
- avg total
- 36.5
Show the 20 most recent matches
| game | spread | total line | result | scored | cover | o/u |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN @ CHI 2024 | -3 | 39.5 | -3 | 57 | dog | over |
| LAC @ DEN 2024 | -3 | 37 | -7 | 39 | fav | over |
| MIA @ NE 2024 | -2 | 37 | -5 | 25 |
12
Head to head
PIT leads 42–13 (1 tie)56 meetings since 1999
- 2025-12-28PIT @ CLE6-13CLE won
- 2025-10-12CLE @ PIT9-23PIT won
- 2024-12-08CLE @ PIT14-27PIT won
- 2024-11-21PIT @ CLE19-24CLE won
- 2023-11-19PIT @ CLE10-13CLE won
- 2023-09-18CLE @ PIT22-26PIT won
- 2023-01-08CLE @ PIT14-28PIT won
- 2022-09-22PIT @ CLE17-29CLE won