Ravens @ Cowboys · Week 3

2026 · Week 3 · Sep 27, 20:25 UTC · Maracana Stadium

Ravens

8–9 · 6–11 ATS · 11–6 O/U('25)

Cowboys

7–9–1 · 7–10 ATS · 13–4 O/U('25)

spread · DAL: +2.5
total: 51.5
fair ml: 45¢ home
books: 12
open: +2.5 / 51.5

odds as of Sep 1, 09:43 UTC · polymarket Sep 1, 15:00 UTC · refreshes with each capture, not live

Odds across the books

book	Baltimore Ravens	Dallas Cowboys	updated
Betclic (FR)	-143	+105	Sep 1, 09:41 UTC
Betr	-137	+110	Sep 1, 09:42 UTC
Caesars	-137	+116	Sep 1, 09:41 UTC
DraftKings	-135	+114	Sep 1, 09:42 UTC
Fanatics	-140	+115	Sep 1, 09:42 UTC
LeoVegas	-149	+108	Sep 1, 09:42 UTC
ReBet	-136	+111	Sep 1, 09:43 UTC
Smarkets	-145	+104	Sep 1, 09:43 UTC
theScore Bet	-135	+115	Sep 1, 09:43 UTC
Unibet (UK)	-137	+110	Sep 1, 09:42 UTC

Model says

proreleased to Pro 2h after the house trades (amendment A3, from Week 1); unlocks here at kickoff−15min

Checking the model…

Line movement

latestSep 1 · 2.5

Median across books per capture, ~12-hourly book snapshots + 30-min line captures. Not live.

Player props

consensus columns free · model columns above in Model says

Props are not posted yet. Books open player markets a few days before kickoff — they appear here with the next odds capture.

Matchup

EPA form free · PFF unit grades Pro

BALseason form · league percentileDAL

69
off EPA/play
84
34
def EPA/play
0
59
success rate
88
3
pass over expected
66
66
explosive pass rate
72
97
explosive rush rate
31
16
sacks allowed/dropback
88

Raw numbers, last 5 vs season

form	last 5		season
	BAL	DAL	BAL	DAL
off EPA/play	.166	.043	.037	.096
def EPA/play	.070	.267	.023	.170
success rate	.465	.458	.443	.466
pass over expected	-18.7	-4.9	-8.5	-.905
explosive pass rate	.047	.055	.049	.051
explosive rush rate	.093	.049	.077	.042
sacks allowed/dropback	.100

PFF unit grades (pass block, pass rush, coverage, run defense…) are Pro. Unlock →

Weather

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo covers 16 days out. It appears here automatically once the game is in range.

Missing players

BAL

Zay Flowers · WR (Undisclosed)86 rec, 1211 yds; 62 rush ydshigh impactQuestionable
Adam Randall · RB (Undisclosed)IR
Danny Pinter · G (Knee)IR
Skylar Thompson · QB (Undisclosed)IR
Bilhal Kone · CB (Lower Body)

Polymarket

Ravens vs. Cowboys

bid: 51¢
ask: 61¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Ravens (-1.5)

bid: 41¢
ask: 71¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Ravens (-2.5)

bid: 45¢
ask: 56¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Ravens (-3.5)

bid: 35¢
ask: 65¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Ravens (-4.5)

bid: 30¢
ask: 63¢
24h vol: —

Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 47.5

bid: 31¢
ask: 83¢
24h vol: —

Sharp wallets in this game

pro

0 graded-wallet positions · 0 wallets currently holding this game.

Who, which side, size, and whether the close says they're trustworthy — that's Pro. Unlock →

Similar past games

37 past games within ±1 spread and ±1.5 total, same roof, division games.

favourite ats: 20–15–2(57%)
over rate: 46%
avg margin: -2.4
avg total: 52.7

Show the 20 most recent matches

game	spread	total line	result	scored	cover	o/u
CHI @ CIN 2025	-3	51.5	-5	89	fav	over
IND @ PIT 2025	-3.5	51.5	+7	47	dog	under
BAL @ BUF 2025	-1.5	50.5	+1	81	dog

Head to head

BAL leads 6–17 meetings since 1999

2024-09-22BAL @ DAL28-25BAL won
2020-12-08DAL @ BAL17-34BAL won
2016-11-20BAL @ DAL17-27DAL won
2012-10-14DAL @ BAL29-31BAL won
2008-12-20BAL @ DAL33-24BAL won
2004-11-21DAL @ BAL10-30BAL won
2000-11-19DAL @ BAL0-27BAL won

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