Seahawks @ Cardinals · Week 2

2026 · Week 2 · Sep 20, 20:25 UTC · State Farm Stadium

Seahawks

17–3 · 15–5 ATS · 11–9 O/U('25)

Cardinals

3–14 · 6–11 ATS · 10–7 O/U('25)

spread · ARI: +10
total: 44.5
fair ml: 20¢ home
books: 5
open: +10 / 44.5

odds as of Sep 1, 09:43 UTC · polymarket Sep 1, 15:00 UTC · refreshes with each capture, not live

Odds across the books

book	Arizona Cardinals	Seattle Seahawks	updated
Bet Right	+390	-526	Sep 1, 09:43 UTC
Betr	+375	-526	Sep 1, 09:42 UTC
Caesars	+390	-480	Sep 1, 09:41 UTC
DraftKings	+410	-550	Sep 1, 09:42 UTC

Consensus edge

de-vigged median across the books — no model involved

moneyline

4 books · vig removed

Fair: Cardinals 20¢ / Seahawks 80¢ — no book beats fair right now.

fairworsebetter

Model says

proreleased to Pro 2h after the house trades (amendment A3, from Week 1); unlocks here at kickoff−15min

Checking the model…

Line movement

latestSep 1 · 9.8

Median across books per capture, ~12-hourly book snapshots + 30-min line captures. Not live.

Player props

consensus columns free · model columns above in Model says

Props are not posted yet. Books open player markets a few days before kickoff — they appear here with the next odds capture.

Matchup

EPA form free · PFF unit grades Pro

SEAseason form · league percentileARI

75
off EPA/play
41
94
def EPA/play
16
84
success rate
38
9
pass over expected
97
81
explosive pass rate
50
88
explosive rush rate
6
72
sacks allowed/dropback
28

Raw numbers, last 5 vs season

form	last 5		season
	SEA	ARI	SEA	ARI
off EPA/play	.075	-.013	.058	-.014
def EPA/play	-.263	.263	-.142	.089
success rate	.451	.401	.465	.429
pass over expected	-7.5	1.4	-6.6	3.7
explosive pass rate	.022	.063	.055	.046
explosive rush rate	.076	.029	.058	.034
sacks allowed/dropback	.074

PFF unit grades (pass block, pass rush, coverage, run defense…) are Pro. Unlock →

Weather

Indoors — State Farm Stadium (closed). Weather is not a factor.

Missing players

SEA

Zach Charbonnet · RB (Knee - ACL)20 rec, 144 yds; 750 rush ydshigh impactPUP
Emanuel Wilson · RB (Hamstring)15 rec, 99 yds; 499 rush ydsmed impactQuestionable
Tory Horton · WR (Undisclosed)13 rec, 161 ydsmed impactQuestionable
Jake Bobo · WR (Knee)

Polymarket

Seahawks vs. Cardinals

bid: 77¢
ask: 87¢
24h vol: —

▼ +0.5% today

Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)

bid: 44¢
ask: 79¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)

bid: 41¢
ask: 76¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Seahawks (-8.5)

bid: 38¢
ask: 73¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)

bid: 39¢
ask: 65¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)

bid: 30¢
ask: 65¢
24h vol: —

where the real money sits

Bid-side order-book liquidity per outcome (top 5 levels). On-chain and verifiable — not a self-reported bets split.

Seahawks$5,476
Cardinals$1,606
Under$1,142
Over$1,030

order book

Seahawks

bids

77¢$488

76¢$456

75¢$1,950

74¢$1,480

70¢$8

asks

87¢$1,774

88¢$1,764

89¢$1,780

93¢$8

Sharp wallets in this game

pro

0 graded-wallet positions · 0 wallets currently holding this game.

Who, which side, size, and whether the close says they're trustworthy — that's Pro. Unlock →

Similar past games

45 past games within ±1 spread and ±1.5 total.

favourite ats: 13–32(29%)
over rate: 64%
avg margin: -6.2
avg total: 48.6

Show the 20 most recent matches

game	spread	total line	result	scored	cover	o/u
LA @ CAR 2025	-10	44.5	-3	65	dog	over
LA @ CAR 2025	-10	44.5	+3	59	dog	over
LAC @ TEN 2025	-10	44.5	-7	47	dog	over

Head to head

SEA leads 30–17 (1 tie)48 meetings since 1999

2025-11-09ARI @ SEA22-44SEA won
2025-09-25SEA @ ARI23-20SEA won
2024-12-08SEA @ ARI30-18SEA won
2024-11-24ARI @ SEA6-16SEA won
2024-01-07SEA @ ARI21-20SEA won
2023-10-22ARI @ SEA10-20SEA won
2022-11-06SEA @ ARI31-21SEA won
2022-10-16ARI @ SEA9-19SEA won

← All games

Aaron Smith · LB (Undisclosed)IR

Irv Charles · WR (Undisclosed)IR

Robbie Ouzts · RB (Undisclosed)IR

Brock Lampe · FB (Undisclosed)IR

Bud Clark · DB (Ankle)IR

Power Echols · LB (Undisclosed)IR

Mason Richman · OL (Knee)IR

Amari Kight · OT (Undisclosed)IR

Nick Emmanwori · DB (Ankle)Questionable

Julian Neal · DB (Leg)Questionable

Brandon Pili · DT (Lower Leg)Questionable

Chris Paul · LB (Undisclosed)Questionable

Terrion Arnold · DB (Undisclosed)NA

ARI

Trey Benson · RB (Knee)13 rec, 64 yds; 160 rush ydsmed impactIR
James Conner · RB (Foot)8 rec, 38 yds; 95 rush ydsmed impactIR
Xavier Weaver · WR (Concussion)7 rec, 67 ydslow impactIR
Tip Reiman · TE (Ankle)3 rec, 18 ydslow impactPUP
Chase Bisontis · G (Knee - MCL)IR
Zach Carter · DL (Knee)IR
Joey Blount · DB (Undisclosed)IR
Kaleb Proctor · DT (Knee - Meniscus)IR
Jameson Geers · TE (Undisclosed)IR
Dadrion Taylor-Demerson · DB (Ribs)Questionable
Will Johnson · DB (Lower Body)Questionable
Blake Gillikin · P (Groin)Questionable
Jeremiyah Love · RB (Ankle)Questionable

SEAseason form · league percentileARI

75
off EPA/play
41
94
def EPA/play
16
84
success rate
38
9
pass over expected
97
81
explosive pass rate
50
88
explosive rush rate
6
72
sacks allowed/dropback
28

Raw numbers, last 5 vs season

form	last 5		season
	SEA	ARI	SEA	ARI
off EPA/play	.075	-.013	.058	-.014
def EPA/play	-.263	.263	-.142	.089
success rate	.451	.401	.465	.429
pass over expected	-7.5	1.4	-6.6	3.7
explosive pass rate	.022	.063	.055	.046
explosive rush rate	.076	.029	.058	.034
sacks allowed/dropback	.074

PFF unit grades (pass block, pass rush, coverage, run defense…) are Pro. Unlock →

0 graded-wallet positions · 0 wallets currently holding this game.

Who, which side, size, and whether the close says they're trustworthy — that's Pro. Unlock →

latestSep 1 · 9.8

Median across books per capture, ~12-hourly book snapshots + 30-min line captures. Not live.

Seahawks vs. Cardinals

bid: 77¢
ask: 87¢
24h vol: —

▼ +0.5% today

Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)

bid: 44¢
ask: 79¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)

bid: 41¢
ask: 76¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Seahawks (-8.5)

bid: 38¢
ask: 73¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)

bid: 39¢
ask: 65¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)

bid: 30¢
ask: 65¢
24h vol: —

where the real money sits

Bid-side order-book liquidity per outcome (top 5 levels). On-chain and verifiable — not a self-reported bets split.

Seahawks$5,476
Cardinals$1,606
Under$1,142
Over$1,030

order book

Seahawks

bids

77¢$488

76¢$456

75¢$1,950

74¢$1,480

70¢$8

asks

87¢$1,774

88¢$1,764

89¢$1,780

93¢$8

Cardinals

bids

13¢$265

12¢$241

11¢$220

7¢$1

6¢$12

asks

23¢$146

24¢$144

25¢$650

26¢$520

30¢$3