2026 · Week 2 · · Empower Field at Mile High
Jaguars13–5 · 12–6 ATS · 10–8 O/U('25)
Broncos15–4 · 9–10 ATS · 8–11 O/U('25)
- spread · DEN
- -2.5
- total
- 43.5
- fair ml
- 58¢ home
- books
- 5
- open
- -2.5 / 43.5
odds as of · polymarket · refreshes with each capture, not live
01
Odds across the books
| book | Denver Broncos | Jacksonville Jaguars | updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | -156 | +128 | |
| Betr | -156 | +125 | |
| Caesars | -170 | +135 | |
| DraftKings | -142 | +120 |
02
Consensus edge
de-vigged median across the books — no model involvedmoneyline
4 books · vig removed
Fair: Broncos 58¢ / Jaguars 42¢ — no book beats fair right now.
fairworsebetter
03
Model says
proreleased to Pro 2h after the house trades (amendment A3, from Week 1); unlocks here at kickoff−15minChecking the model…
04
Line movement
05
Player props
consensus columns free · model columns above in Model saysProps are not posted yet. Books open player markets a few days before kickoff — they appear here with the next odds capture.
06
Matchup
EPA form free · PFF unit grades Pro07
Weather
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo covers 16 days out. It appears here automatically once the game is in range.
08
Missing players
JAX
- Brian Thomas · WR (Shoulder)50 rec, 728 yds; 21 rush ydshigh impactQuestionable
- LeQuint Allen · RB (Undisclosed)11 rec, 63 yds; 97 rush ydslow impactQuestionable
- Zach Durfee · DE (Upper Body)IR
- Patrick Mekari · OL (Back)IR
09
Polymarket
10
Sharp wallets in this game
pro11
Similar past games
188 past games within ±1 spread and ±1.5 total, same roof, division games.
- favourite ats
- 84–91–13(48%)
- over rate
- 48%
- avg margin
- 2.7
- avg total
- 43.5
Show the 20 most recent matches
| game | spread | total line | result | scored | cover | o/u |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA @ PIT 2025 | +3 | 42.5 | +13 | 43 | fav | over |
| DEN @ PHI 2025 | +3.5 | 44.5 | -4 | 38 | dog | under |
| TB @ SEA 2025 | +3.5 | 44.5 | -3 | 73 | dog |
12
Head to head
JAX leads 7–512 meetings since 1999
- 2025-12-21JAX @ DEN34-20JAX won
- 2022-10-30DEN @ JAX21-17DEN won
- 2021-09-19DEN @ JAX23-13DEN won
- 2019-09-29JAX @ DEN26-24JAX won
- 2016-12-04DEN @ JAX20-10DEN won
- 2013-10-13JAX @ DEN19-35DEN won
- 2010-09-12DEN @ JAX17-24JAX won
- 2008-10-12JAX @ DEN24-17JAX won