2026 · Week 2 · · Raymond James Stadium
Browns5–12 · 8–9 ATS · 8–9 O/U('25)
Buccaneers8–9 · 5–12 ATS · 8–9 O/U('25)
- spread · TB
- -6.5
- total
- 42.5
- fair ml
- 70¢ home
- books
- 5
- open → now
- -5.5 → -6.5
line moved 1.0 toward TB
odds as of · polymarket · refreshes with each capture, not live
01
Odds across the books
| book | Cleveland Browns | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | +220 | -278 | |
| Betr | +215 | -278 | |
| Caesars | +250 | -320 | |
| DraftKings | +200 | -245 |
02
Consensus edge
de-vigged median across the books — no model involvedmoneyline
4 books · vig removed
Fair: Buccaneers 70¢ / Browns 30¢ — best price: Browns at williamhill_us +5.0% above fair.
fairworse
03
Model says
proreleased to Pro 2h after the house trades (amendment A3, from Week 1); unlocks here at kickoff−15minChecking the model…
04
Line movement
05
Player props
consensus columns free · model columns above in Model saysProps are not posted yet. Books open player markets a few days before kickoff — they appear here with the next odds capture.
06
Matchup
EPA form free · PFF unit grades Pro07
Weather
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo covers 16 days out. It appears here automatically once the game is in range.
08
Missing players
CLE
- Isaiah Bond · WR (Concussion)18 rec, 338 yds; 29 rush ydsmed impactQuestionable
- Dillon Gabriel · QB (Back)86 rush yds; 937 pass ydsmed impactIR
- Jamari Thrash · WR (Undisclosed)10 rec, 107 ydslow impactIR
- Alex Wright · DL (Achilles)
09
Polymarket
10
Sharp wallets in this game
pro11
Similar past games
155 past games within ±1 spread and ±1.5 total, same roof, division games.
- favourite ats
- 58–94–3(38%)
- over rate
- 51%
- avg margin
- 5.6
- avg total
- 44.7
Show the 20 most recent matches
| game | spread | total line | result | scored | cover | o/u |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO @ MIA 2025 | +5.5 | 41.5 | +4 | 38 | dog | under |
| CHI @ PHI 2025 | +7 | 43.5 | -9 | 39 | dog | under |
| NYJ @ CIN 2025 | +5.5 | 43.5 | -1 | 77 | dog | over |
12
Head to head
TB leads 4–26 meetings since 1999
- 2022-11-27TB @ CLE17-23CLE won
- 2018-10-21CLE @ TB23-26TB won
- 2014-11-02TB @ CLE17-22CLE won
- 2010-09-12CLE @ TB14-17TB won
- 2006-12-24TB @ CLE22-7TB won
- 2002-10-13CLE @ TB3-17TB won