2026 · Week 1 · · Paycor Stadium
Buccaneers8–9 · 5–12 ATS · 8–9 O/U('25)
Bengals6–11 · 8–9 ATS · 9–8 O/U('25)
- spread · CIN
- -3.5
- total
- 50.5
- fair ml
- 64¢ home
- books
- 60
- open
- -3.5 / 51.5
odds as of · polymarket · refreshes with each capture, not live
01
Odds across the books
| book | Cincinnati Bengals | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnaclesharp ref | -214 | +185 | |
| Bally Bet | -200 | +165 | |
| Bet Right | -208 | +165 | |
| BetAnything | -210 | +175 | |
| Betclic (FR) | -222 | +160 | |
| Betfair | -200 | +174 | |
| Betfair | -200 | +174 | |
| Betfair | -200 | +174 | |
| Betfair Sportsbook | -189 | +150 | |
| Paddy Power | -188 | +150 |
03
Model says
proreleased to Pro 2h after the house trades (amendment A3, from Week 1); unlocks here at kickoff−15minChecking the model…
04
Line movement
05
Player props
consensus columns free · model columns above in Model says| player | line | over | under | books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow | 2.5 | +168 | +159 | 5 |
| Baker Mayfield | 1.5 | -114 | -104 | 4 |
06
Matchup
EPA form free · PFF unit grades Pro07
Weather
- temperature
- 32°C (feels 36°C)
- wind
- 4 km/h, gusts 8 · 268°
- precipitation
- 0 mm
- humidity
- 49%
- cloud cover
- 92%
source forecast
08
Missing players
TB
- Emeka Egbuka · WR (Undisclosed)63 rec, 938 yds; 9 rush ydshigh impactQuestionable
- Jalen McMillan · WR (Calf)12 rec, 178 yds; 1 rush ydslow impactQuestionable
- Deshawn McKnight · DL (Hamstring)IR
- David Sills · WR (Undisclosed)IR
09
Polymarket
10
Sharp wallets in this game
pro11
Similar past games
71 past games within ±1 spread and ±1.5 total, same roof, division games.
- favourite ats
- 33–36–2(48%)
- over rate
- 38%
- avg margin
- 2.6
- avg total
- 48.3
Show the 20 most recent matches
| game | spread | total line | result | scored | cover | o/u |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI @ SF 2025 | +3.5 | 51.5 | +4 | 80 | fav | over |
| IND @ KC 2025 | +3.5 | 50.5 | +3 | 43 | dog | under |
| DAL @ DEN 2025 | +3.5 | 51.5 | +20 | 68 |
12
Head to head
TB leads 4–37 meetings since 1999
- 2022-12-18CIN @ TB34-23CIN won
- 2018-10-28TB @ CIN34-37CIN won
- 2014-11-30CIN @ TB14-13CIN won
- 2010-10-10TB @ CIN24-21TB won
- 2006-10-15CIN @ TB13-14TB won
- 2002-09-29TB @ CIN35-7TB won
- 2001-12-02TB @ CIN16-13TB won