Jets @ Titans · Week 1

2026 · Week 1 · Sep 13, 17:00 UTC · Nissan Stadium

Jets

3–14 · 7–10 ATS · 11–6 O/U('25)

Titans

3–14 · 7–10 ATS · 11–6 O/U('25)

spread · TEN: -2.5
total: 39
fair ml: 55¢ home
books: 60
open → now: -1.5 → -2.5

line moved 1.0 toward TEN

odds as of Sep 1, 09:43 UTC · polymarket Sep 1, 15:30 UTC · refreshes with each capture, not live

Odds across the books

book	New York Jets	Tennessee Titans	updated
Pinnaclesharp ref	+117	-132	Sep 1, 09:43 UTC
Bally Bet	+110	-136	Sep 1, 09:42 UTC
Bet Right	+110	-135	Sep 1, 09:43 UTC
BetAnything	+110	-130	Sep 1, 09:42 UTC
Betclic (FR)	+105	-143	Sep 1, 09:41 UTC
Betfair	+110	-128	Sep 1, 09:43 UTC
Betfair	+110	-128	Sep 1, 09:43 UTC
Betfair	+110	-128	Sep 1, 09:43 UTC
Betfair Sportsbook	+110	-137	Sep 1, 09:43 UTC
TAB	+125	-154	Sep 1, 09:42 UTC

Model says

proreleased to Pro 2h after the house trades (amendment A3, from Week 1); unlocks here at kickoff−15min

Checking the model…

Line movement

latestSep 1 · -1.8

Median across books per capture, ~12-hourly book snapshots + 30-min line captures. Not live.

Player props

consensus columns free · model columns above in Model says

player	line	over	under	books
Geno Smith	1.5	+204	+189	4
Cam Ward	1.5	+178	-225	3

Matchup

EPA form free · PFF unit grades Pro

NYJseason form · league percentileTEN

12
off EPA/play
9
3
def EPA/play
12
9
success rate
9
3
pass over expected
34
0
explosive pass rate
22
66
explosive rush rate
22
6
sacks allowed/dropback
22

Raw numbers, last 5 vs season

form	last 5		season
	NYJ	TEN	NYJ	TEN
off EPA/play	-.284	-.069	-.141	-.167
def EPA/play	.274	.069	.151	.106
success rate	.350	.389	.400	.373
pass over expected	-10.9	-8.6	-9.3	-3.9
explosive pass rate	.019	.042	.025	.041
explosive rush rate	.032	.045	.052	.041
sacks allowed/dropback	.095

PFF unit grades (pass block, pass rush, coverage, run defense…) are Pro. Unlock →

Weather

temperature: 39°C (feels 43°C)
wind: 6 km/h, gusts 11 · 223°
precipitation: 0 mm
humidity: 31%
cloud cover: 0%

source forecast

Missing players

NYJ

Breece Hall · RB (Thigh)36 rec, 350 yds; 1065 rush yds; 4 pass ydshigh impactQuestionable
Isaiah Davis · RB (Knee)21 rec, 186 yds; 236 rush ydsmed impactQuestionable
VJ Payne · DB (Undisclosed)IR
Mykal Walker · LB (Undisclosed)IR

Polymarket

Jets vs. Titans

bid: 45¢
ask: 47¢
24h vol: $132

▲ +1.0% today

Spread: Titans (-1.5)

bid: 50¢
ask: 54¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Titans (-2.5)

bid: 47¢
ask: 50¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Titans (-3.5)

bid: 38¢
ask: 40¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Titans (-4.5)

bid: 35¢
ask: 40¢
24h vol: —

▼ +1.5% today

Jets vs. Titans: O/U 35.5

bid: 59¢
ask: 65¢
24h vol: —

▼ +0.5% today

where the real money sits

Bid-side order-book liquidity per outcome (top 5 levels). On-chain and verifiable — not a self-reported bets split.

Under$39,809
Jets$37,805
Over$37,060
Titans$22,703

order book

Jets

bids

45¢$23

44¢$2,726

43¢$3,860

42¢$1,439

41¢$1,640

asks

47¢$1,807

48¢$1,790

49¢$1,470

50¢$800

recent trades · 22 captured

Limp-Possessionbuy Jets 47¢ × 50
Angry-Exasperationbuy Over 53¢ × 10
sell Jets 44¢ × 22
Nippy-Chapterbuy Jets 46¢ × 2
buy Jets 46¢ × 4
Hospitable-Capbuy Titans 56¢ × 54
Trusting-Tillbuy Titans 56¢ × 18
buy Jets 45¢ × 17
Focused-Chiefbuy Titans 56¢ × 18
Repulsive-Peoplebuy Titans 57¢ × 9
Cheery-Trachomasell Titans 56¢ × 18
Cheery-Trachomabuy Titans 57¢ × 18

Sharp wallets in this game

pro

0 graded-wallet positions · 0 wallets currently holding this game.

Who, which side, size, and whether the close says they're trustworthy — that's Pro. Unlock →

Similar past games

134 past games within ±1 spread and ±1.5 total, same roof, division games.

favourite ats: 71–54–9(57%)
over rate: 46%
avg margin: 3.7
avg total: 40.2

Show the 20 most recent matches

game	spread	total line	result	scored	cover	o/u
HOU @ NE 2025	+3	40.5	+12	44	fav	over
BAL @ GB 2025	+2.5	38.5	-17	65	dog	over
CAR @ NYJ 2025	+1.5	39.5	-7	19	dog

Head to head

NYJ leads 8–412 meetings since 1999

2024-09-15NYJ @ TEN24-17NYJ won
2021-10-03TEN @ NYJ24-27NYJ won
2018-12-02NYJ @ TEN22-26TEN won
2015-12-13TEN @ NYJ8-30NYJ won
2014-12-14NYJ @ TEN16-11NYJ won
2013-09-29NYJ @ TEN13-38TEN won
2012-12-17NYJ @ TEN10-14TEN won
2009-09-27TEN @ NYJ17-24NYJ won

← All games

Consensus edge

de-vigged median across the books — no model involved

moneyline

53 books · vig removed

Fair: Titans 55¢ / Jets 45¢ — best price: Jets at tab +1.8% above fair.

fairworsebettertab

spread · -2.5

24 books · vig removed

Fair: Titans 50¢ / Jets 50¢ — no book beats fair right now.

fairworsebetter

total · 39

18 books · vig removed

Fair: Over 50¢ / Under 50¢ — no book beats fair right now.

fairworsebetter

Kingsley Jonathan · DT (Thigh)

Chase Curtis · TE (Knee)IR

Anez Cooper · G (Shoulder)IR

Tre Brown · CB (Undisclosed)IR

Connor Hulstein · TE (Undisclosed)IR

Dominic Richardson · RB (Undisclosed)IR

Kenyon Sadiq · TE (Abdomen)Questionable

D'Angelo Ponds · DB (Calf)Questionable

Nahshon Wright · CB (Hip)Questionable

Joseph Ossai · DE (Foot)Questionable

Qwan'tez Stiggers · CB (Knee)Questionable

Da'Quan Felton · WR (Undisclosed)Questionable

Tyler Baron · DE (Knee)PUP

TEN

Wan'Dale Robinson · WR (Head)92 rec, 1014 yds; 5 rush ydshigh impactQuestionable
Mitchell Trubisky · QB (Biceps)6 rush yds; 313 pass ydslow impactQuestionable
Jaren Kanak · TE (Pectoral)IR
Joshua Williams · CB (Pectoral)IR
Dorian Mausi · LB (Undisclosed)IR
Dominique Hampton · CB (Undisclosed)IR
Jaylen Harrell · DE (Knee - ACL)IR
Milo Eifler · LB (Undisclosed)IR
Tanoh Kpassagnon · DE (Undisclosed)IR
Keldric Faulk · DL (Shoulder)Questionable
Nazeeh Johnson · DB (Ankle)Questionable

NYJseason form · league percentileTEN

12
off EPA/play
9
3
def EPA/play
12
9
success rate
9
3
pass over expected
34
0
explosive pass rate
22
66
explosive rush rate
22
6
sacks allowed/dropback
22

Raw numbers, last 5 vs season

form	last 5		season
	NYJ	TEN	NYJ	TEN
off EPA/play	-.284	-.069	-.141	-.167
def EPA/play	.274	.069	.151	.106
success rate	.350	.389	.400	.373
pass over expected	-10.9	-8.6	-9.3	-3.9
explosive pass rate	.019	.042	.025	.041
explosive rush rate	.032	.045	.052	.041
sacks allowed/dropback	.095

PFF unit grades (pass block, pass rush, coverage, run defense…) are Pro. Unlock →

0 graded-wallet positions · 0 wallets currently holding this game.

Who, which side, size, and whether the close says they're trustworthy — that's Pro. Unlock →

latestSep 1 · -1.8

Median across books per capture, ~12-hourly book snapshots + 30-min line captures. Not live.

Jets vs. Titans

bid: 45¢
ask: 47¢
24h vol: $132

▲ +1.0% today

Spread: Titans (-1.5)

bid: 50¢
ask: 54¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Titans (-2.5)

bid: 47¢
ask: 50¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Titans (-3.5)

bid: 38¢
ask: 40¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Titans (-4.5)

bid: 35¢
ask: 40¢
24h vol: —

▼ +1.5% today

Jets vs. Titans: O/U 35.5

bid: 59¢
ask: 65¢
24h vol: —

▼ +0.5% today

where the real money sits

Bid-side order-book liquidity per outcome (top 5 levels). On-chain and verifiable — not a self-reported bets split.

Under$39,809
Jets$37,805
Over$37,060
Titans$22,703

order book

Jets

bids

45¢$23

44¢$2,726

43¢$3,860

42¢$1,439

41¢$1,640

asks

47¢$1,807

48¢$1,790

49¢$1,470

50¢$800

recent trades · 22 captured

Limp-Possessionbuy Jets 47¢ × 50
Angry-Exasperationbuy Over 53¢ × 10
sell Jets 44¢ × 22
Nippy-Chapterbuy Jets 46¢ × 2
buy Jets 46¢ × 4
Hospitable-Capbuy Titans 56¢ × 54
Trusting-Tillbuy Titans 56¢ × 18
buy Jets 45¢ × 17
Focused-Chiefbuy Titans 56¢ × 18
Repulsive-Peoplebuy Titans 57¢ × 9
Cheery-Trachomasell Titans 56¢ × 18
Cheery-Trachomabuy Titans 57¢ × 18

Titans

bids

53¢$2,038

52¢$1,939

51¢$1,530

50¢$800

49¢$833

asks

55¢$28

56¢$3,469

57¢$5,116

58¢$1,987

59¢$2,360