Ravens @ Colts · Week 1

2026 · Week 1 · Sep 13, 17:00 UTC · Lucas Oil Stadium

Ravens

8–9 · 6–11 ATS · 11–6 O/U('25)

Colts

8–9 · 9–8 ATS · 9–8 O/U('25)

spread · IND: +3.5
total: 48
fair ml: 38¢ home
books: 60
open: +3.5 / 48.5

odds as of Sep 1, 09:43 UTC · polymarket Sep 1, 15:00 UTC · refreshes with each capture, not live

Odds across the books

book	Baltimore Ravens	Indianapolis Colts	updated
Pinnaclesharp ref	-176	+154	Sep 1, 09:43 UTC
Bally Bet	-186	+155	Sep 1, 09:42 UTC
Bet Right	-179	+142	Sep 1, 09:43 UTC
BetAnything	-180	+155	Sep 1, 09:42 UTC
Betclic (FR)	-192	+145	Sep 1, 09:41 UTC
Betfair	-182	+158	Sep 1, 09:43 UTC
Betfair	-182	+158	Sep 1, 09:43 UTC
DraftKings	-175	+145	Sep 1, 09:42 UTC
Everygame	-180	+160	Sep 1, 09:43 UTC
Unibet (SE)	-180	+160	Sep 1, 09:42 UTC

Model says

proreleased to Pro 2h after the house trades (amendment A3, from Week 1); unlocks here at kickoff−15min

Checking the model…

Line movement

latestSep 1 · 3.5

Median across books per capture, ~12-hourly book snapshots + 30-min line captures. Not live.

Player props

consensus columns free · model columns above in Model says

player	line	over	under	books
Lamar Jackson	1.5	+113	-137	5
Daniel Jones	1.5	+138	-161	4

Matchup

EPA form free · PFF unit grades Pro

BALseason form · league percentileIND

69
off EPA/play
81
34
def EPA/play
50
59
success rate
75
3
pass over expected
72
66
explosive pass rate
38
97
explosive rush rate
53
16
sacks allowed/dropback
81

Raw numbers, last 5 vs season

form	last 5		season
	BAL	IND	BAL	IND
off EPA/play	.166	-.120	.037	.074
def EPA/play	.070	.088	.023	.000
success rate	.465	.391	.443	.460
pass over expected	-18.7	-6.0	-8.5	-.644
explosive pass rate	.047	.026	.049	.043
explosive rush rate	.093	.013	.077	.048
sacks allowed/dropback	.100

PFF unit grades (pass block, pass rush, coverage, run defense…) are Pro. Unlock →

Weather

Indoors — Lucas Oil Stadium (closed). Weather is not a factor.

Missing players

BAL

Zay Flowers · WR (Undisclosed)86 rec, 1211 yds; 62 rush ydshigh impactQuestionable
Adam Randall · RB (Undisclosed)IR
Danny Pinter · G (Knee)IR
Skylar Thompson · QB (Undisclosed)IR
Bilhal Kone · CB (Lower Body)

Polymarket

Ravens vs. Colts

bid: 62¢
ask: 64¢
24h vol: $2

Spread: Ravens (-1.5)

bid: 56¢
ask: 62¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Ravens (-3.5)

bid: 48¢
ask: 49¢
24h vol: —

▲ +0.5% today

Spread: Ravens (-4.5)

bid: 42¢
ask: 45¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Ravens (-6.5)

bid: 37¢
ask: 42¢
24h vol: —

▲ +1.0% today

Ravens vs. Colts: O/U 45.5

bid: 55¢
ask: 60¢
24h vol: —

▼ +0.5% today

where the real money sits

Bid-side order-book liquidity per outcome (top 5 levels). On-chain and verifiable — not a self-reported bets split.

Under$68,404
Over$42,171
Ravens$30,064
Colts$26,690

order book

Ravens

bids

62¢$897

61¢$2,183

60¢$2,256

59¢$2,033

58¢$580

asks

64¢$2,207

65¢$2,781

66¢$2,013

68¢$1,088

recent trades · 17 captured

Hefty-Denbuy Ravens 64¢ × 2
Trusting-Tillbuy Ravens 64¢ × 16
Cheap-Moneybuy Ravens 64¢ × 16
Worn-Brunchbuy Ravens 64¢ × 3
Adorable-Attachmentbuy Ravens 64¢ × 13
Third-Wealthbuy Colts 37¢ × 13
Honored-Shortsbuy Ravens 64¢ × 13
Peppery-Evaluationbuy Colts 37¢ × 13
Curvy-Comebackbuy Ravens 64¢ × 13
Unlawful-Fanlightbuy Colts 37¢ × 13
Dimpled-Volbuy Colts 37¢ × 25
Calm-Contentbuy Ravens 64¢ × 25

Sharp wallets in this game

pro

0 graded-wallet positions · 0 wallets currently holding this game.

Who, which side, size, and whether the close says they're trustworthy — that's Pro. Unlock →

Similar past games

56 past games within ±1 spread and ±1.5 total, same roof, division games.

favourite ats: 28–28(50%)
over rate: 55%
avg margin: -3.5
avg total: 50.8

Show the 20 most recent matches

game	spread	total line	result	scored	cover	o/u
SF @ IND 2025	-4.5	46.5	-21	75	fav	over
ATL @ ARI 2025	-2.5	48.5	-7	45	fav	under
JAX @ ARI 2025	-2.5	47.5	-3	51

Head to head

IND leads 10–616 meetings since 1999

2023-09-24IND @ BAL22-19IND won
2021-10-11IND @ BAL25-31BAL won
2020-11-08BAL @ IND24-10BAL won
2017-12-23IND @ BAL16-23BAL won
2014-10-05BAL @ IND13-20IND won
2013-01-06IND @ BAL9-24BAL won
2011-12-11IND @ BAL10-24BAL won
2010-01-16BAL @ IND3-20IND won

← All games

Consensus edge

de-vigged median across the books — no model involved

moneyline

53 books · vig removed

Fair: Colts 38¢ / Ravens 62¢ — no book beats fair right now.

fairworsebetter

spread · 3.5

36 books · vig removed

Fair: Colts 51¢ / Ravens 49¢ — no book beats fair right now.

fairworsebetter

total · 48

21 books · vig removed

Fair: Over 50¢ / Under 50¢ — no book beats fair right now.

fairworsebetter

Jahquez Robinson · DB (Undisclosed)IR

Jay Higgins · LB (Concussion)Questionable

Teddye Buchanan · LB (Knee - ACL)Questionable

Nnamdi Madubuike · DT (Neck)Questionable

Aeneas Peebles · DT (Undisclosed)Questionable

IND

Tyler Warren · TE (Groin)76 rec, 817 yds; 8 rush ydshigh impactQuestionable
Alec Pierce · WR (Ankle)47 rec, 1003 ydshigh impactQuestionable
Josh Downs · WR (Undisclosed)58 rec, 566 ydshigh impactQuestionable
Will Mallory · TE (Thumb)1 rec, 16 ydslow impactIR
Coleman Owen · WR (Concussion)IR
Carson Towt · TE (Undisclosed)IR
D.J. Montgomery · WR (Abdomen)IR
Sean McKeon · TE (Undisclosed)Questionable
Sauce Gardner · DB (Calf)Questionable
Charvarius Ward · CB (Back)Questionable
Cam Taylor-Britt · DB (Suspension)Sus

BALseason form · league percentileIND

69
off EPA/play
81
34
def EPA/play
50
59
success rate
75
3
pass over expected
72
66
explosive pass rate
38
97
explosive rush rate
53
16
sacks allowed/dropback
81

Raw numbers, last 5 vs season

form	last 5		season
	BAL	IND	BAL	IND
off EPA/play	.166	-.120	.037	.074
def EPA/play	.070	.088	.023	.000
success rate	.465	.391	.443	.460
pass over expected	-18.7	-6.0	-8.5	-.644
explosive pass rate	.047	.026	.049	.043
explosive rush rate	.093	.013	.077	.048
sacks allowed/dropback	.100

PFF unit grades (pass block, pass rush, coverage, run defense…) are Pro. Unlock →

0 graded-wallet positions · 0 wallets currently holding this game.

Who, which side, size, and whether the close says they're trustworthy — that's Pro. Unlock →

latestSep 1 · 3.5

Median across books per capture, ~12-hourly book snapshots + 30-min line captures. Not live.

Ravens vs. Colts

bid: 62¢
ask: 64¢
24h vol: $2

Spread: Ravens (-1.5)

bid: 56¢
ask: 62¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Ravens (-3.5)

bid: 48¢
ask: 49¢
24h vol: —

▲ +0.5% today

Spread: Ravens (-4.5)

bid: 42¢
ask: 45¢
24h vol: —

Spread: Ravens (-6.5)

bid: 37¢
ask: 42¢
24h vol: —

▲ +1.0% today

Ravens vs. Colts: O/U 45.5

bid: 55¢
ask: 60¢
24h vol: —

▼ +0.5% today

where the real money sits

Bid-side order-book liquidity per outcome (top 5 levels). On-chain and verifiable — not a self-reported bets split.

Under$68,404
Over$42,171
Ravens$30,064
Colts$26,690

order book

Ravens

bids

62¢$897

61¢$2,183

60¢$2,256

59¢$2,033

58¢$580

asks

64¢$2,207

65¢$2,781

66¢$2,013

68¢$1,088

recent trades · 17 captured

Hefty-Denbuy Ravens 64¢ × 2
Trusting-Tillbuy Ravens 64¢ × 16
Cheap-Moneybuy Ravens 64¢ × 16
Worn-Brunchbuy Ravens 64¢ × 3
Adorable-Attachmentbuy Ravens 64¢ × 13
Third-Wealthbuy Colts 37¢ × 13
Honored-Shortsbuy Ravens 64¢ × 13
Peppery-Evaluationbuy Colts 37¢ × 13
Curvy-Comebackbuy Ravens 64¢ × 13
Unlawful-Fanlightbuy Colts 37¢ × 13
Dimpled-Volbuy Colts 37¢ × 25
Calm-Contentbuy Ravens 64¢ × 25

Colts

bids

36¢$1,241

35¢$1,498

34¢$1,037

32¢$512

31¢$217

asks

38¢$550

39¢$1,396

40¢$1,504

41¢$1,412

42¢$420